![]() ![]() The system monitors civilian’s movement 24 hours/day, every day. Considering the fluidity of the current situation and the lack of fresh primary data on affected populations, the analysis builds on secondary data and employs a broad set of assumptions.HURFOM: The military junta has installed a CCTV system at every street intersection throughout Mawlamyine, Mon State and other big cities. This brief provides an analysis of the short-term, immediate food security impacts of the current events and perspectives for the longer term to inform WFP operations. The current situation is extremely precarious and there may be additional short- and longterm impacts on Myanmar’s food security and poverty levels. Myanmar’s economy was already severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in2020 a quarter of the country’s population were poor and a further third were vulnerable to poverty. Given the importance of rice and cooking oil in diets and the expenditure of poorest households on rice, continued price increases will likely further impact household food security. Market prices of rice and cooking oil have increased across all monitored markets since the start of February 2021 by 5% and 18%, respectively however even higher increases were registered in border states including Rakhine, Kachin and Chin. The latest forecast from the World Bank indicates a GDP contraction of 10% in 2021. In addition to job and income loss, increasing food and fuel prices, disruptions in trade, slumping economic growth, and internal displacement of ethnic minority groups bode ill for Myanmar’s poor. Vulnerable people in urban areas affected by the economic standstill are at greatest risk, while longer term impact on food systems will also add pressure on rural populations’ food security. ![]() This is largely because poor people have lost jobs and income, making it harder to afford food. WFP estimates that 1.5 to 3.4 million additional people could be at risk of food insecurity and in need of assistance due to the economic slowdown provoked by the political crisis in the coming three to six months. Prior to 1 February 2021, 2.8 million people were considered food insecure in Myanmar. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |